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So, we'll admit that we had our first real worries about the Sox sometime this past Sunday around 3:30 as Kevin Millwood was making quick work of the lineup. That sweep put the Sox at 11-14. More telling, it put their runs scored/runs allowed at 114-134. That was good for a Pythagorean win % of 42%, putting them on pace for about a 68-94 season.
We've generally been part of the small-sample-size-it's-still-early crowd, but those are pretty ugly numbers. But just to show that 25 games is a very small part of the baseball season, the Sox went out and beat the Angels the past two nights, running their runs scored/allowed to almost even on the year at 136-143. That leads to a Pythagorean win % of about 47%, or a final season record of 77-85. Yeah, not great, but those two relatively lopsided games improved the team's season pace by almost ten games.
That's not to say the team will finish 77-85, or .500, or 102-60, just that at this point even a couple games is a big part of a small sample. Yes, the team has some noticeable problems (was anyone else hoping David Ortiz would just strike out looking in the 8th inning last night?), and is already 6.5 back of Tampa, but it also has had some significant injuries, Jon Lester looks to be rounding into shape, and it is still early.
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